By Musa Kikuuno – Busoga Times
Busoga United’s hopes of surviving relegation from the 2024/25 FUFA Big League are hanging by a thread, with only four matches left to play. Sitting 14th on the 15-team table with just 23 points from 24 games, the Kingsmen find themselves entrenched in the dreaded bottom four — the automatic relegation zone.
Their recent form paints a grim picture: seven consecutive defeats in the league, the latest being a heartbreaking 3-2 loss to Ntugasaze in Mityana. Busoga had taken a commanding 2-0 lead, only to collapse under pressure and concede three goals, leaving them empty-handed yet again.
Despite the odds, there’s still a faint pulse of hope — a mathematical and tactical path to survival, albeit a steep one.
The Road Ahead: Four Must-Win Games
Busoga United vs Gaddafi FC – May 25
A do-or-die derby at the Kyabazinga Stadium. Gaddafi FC, third on the table with 40 points, is chasing promotion and won’t be an easy opponent. In the first round, Gaddafi demolished Busoga 3-0 in Entebbe. Now, it’s revenge or relegation for Busoga. A loss here could effectively end their survival hopes.
Busoga United vs Arua Hill – June 8
Arua Hill, currently 10th with 25 points, is just one place above the drop zone. Busoga edged them 2-1 in the first leg. A win here could create a direct switch in positions — provided other results go their way. However, Arua Hill also views this match as vital to their own survival.
Busoga United vs Booma FC – June 15
This fixture could be a dead rubber or a last-chance battle for survival. Booma FC, rooted to the bottom with 19 points, are also staring at relegation. Busoga won the reverse leg 2-1 and will be hoping to repeat the feat. If Busoga fails to collect maximum points from Gaddafi and Arua Hill, this game may come too late to matter.
Blacks Power vs Busoga United – June 22
The final fixture pits Busoga against second-placed Blacks Power (42 points), who are in the thick of the promotion race. Although Busoga beat them 1-0 in the first round, the away game will be a tough test. It could be a dramatic end to the season — one team chasing glory, the other fighting for survival.
Mathematics of Survival
With 12 points left to fight for, Busoga United will need nothing short of a perfect run — four wins out of four — to finish on 35 points. That tally could be enough to secure survival, but only if other results from teams like Arua Hill, Kigezi Homeboyz, MYDA, Onduparaka, and Booma go their way.
Any defeat in the remaining games would seal Busoga United’s relegation.
What Went Wrong?
Several factors have contributed to Busoga’s downfall this season. The exodus of key players during the January transfer window has left gaping holes in the squad.
Isaac Doka Mweru , once the heartbeat of the team, joined Mendiola FC 1991 in the Philippines, where he now plays alongside fellow Ugandan Allan Kigundu (formerly of Onduparaka).
Mongoli Raymond moved to SC Villa.
Anthony Mayanja switched to local rivals BUL FC.
This loss of experienced talent has been difficult to replace, with young players struggling under pressure.
Verdict: Can Busoga United Survive?
The answer is both yes and no.
Yes — if they secure 100% wins in their remaining matches and other teams in the relegation dogfight stumble.
No — if they drop even a single game, as the margin for error is nonexistent.
Realistically, Busoga United has a 65% chance of survival, according to current projections. The fixtures are cruel — two promotion hopefuls and two relegation rivals — all with everything to play for.
But as the saying goes in football, it’s not over until it’s over. The final four games are not just matches — they are finals for Busoga United.
